₹10,000 SIP for 20 Years: Real Returns After LTCG Tax
Most calculators show you ₹99.9L for ₹10K/month SIP over 20 years at 12%. What they don't show: LTCG tax takes 9.3% of that, and inflation eats another 60% of purchasing power. Here is what you actually get to spend.
| Metric | Amount | What It Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total invested | ₹24,00,000 | ₹10K × 12 months × 20 years |
| Gross corpus (12% CAGR) | ₹99,91,480 | What the app shows you |
| Total capital gains | ₹75,91,480 | ₹99.9L - ₹24L |
| LTCG exemption (₹1.25L/yr × 20) | ₹25,00,000 | Tax-free threshold over 20 years |
| LTCG tax @ 12.5% on taxable gains | ≈₹9,33,000 | (₹75.9L - ₹25L) × 12.5% + cess |
| Post-tax corpus | ≈₹90,58,000 | What you can actually withdraw |
| Real value (after 6% inflation) | ≈₹28,25,000 | Purchasing power in today's terms |
The Ladder: How Tax Impact Grows with Time
The longer your SIP, the more gains you accumulate, and the larger the tax bite — but the effective tax rate stays roughly the same:
- 10 years: Gross ₹23.2L, gains ₹11.2L, tax ≈₹1.2L, effective rate: 5.2% of gains
- 15 years: Gross ₹50.5L, gains ₹32.5L, tax ≈₹3.9L, effective rate: 12.0% of gains
- 20 years: Gross ₹99.9L, gains ₹75.9L, tax ≈₹9.3L, effective rate: 12.3% of gains
- 25 years: Gross ₹1.90 Cr, gains ₹1.60 Cr, tax ≈₹19.9L, effective rate: 12.4% of gains
The effective rate approaches 12.5% as gains grow because the ₹1.25L/year exemption becomes proportionally smaller. But even at 12.5%, SIP is far more tax-efficient than FD (taxed at slab rate) or specified debt funds (taxed at the applicable slab rate).
The Real Return: After Tax and Inflation
This is the number that matters for your retirement planning:
- Nominal corpus: ₹99.9L — looks like ₹1 Crore
- After LTCG tax (12.5%): ₹90.6L — your actual withdrawal
- After 6% inflation over 20 years: ₹28.3L in today's purchasing power
The ₹28.3L is what your ₹10K/month SIP can actually buy in today's terms 20 years from now. Is that enough for retirement on its own? No — but combined with EPF, PPF, and other savings, it forms a significant part of your retirement corpus.
How to Minimize LTCG Tax on Your SIP
- Spread redemptions across financial years: Each year gets a fresh ₹1.25L exemption. If you need ₹5L for a goal in year 20, withdraw ₹1.25L over 4 years to stay tax-free.
- Tax-loss harvesting: If one fund has losses, sell it to offset gains from another. This is legal and common.
- Family exemption: Your spouse and parents each have their own ₹1.25L exemption. If they're in lower tax brackets, gift them funds and let them redeem.
- Hold forever (for inheritance): If you never sell, no tax. Your heirs get the funds at the market price on your date of death — the gains up to that date escape capital gains tax entirely.
Why SIP Still Beats Everything at 20 Years
Even after LTCG tax and inflation, a 20-year SIP at 12% delivers ≈2.4% real return above inflation. Compare:
- SIP post-tax real: ₹28.3L (₹24L invested = 18% real gain)
- PPF post-tax real: ₹16.2L (₹24L invested = -32% real loss due to inflation > PPF rate)
- FD post-tax real: Negative (7% - 30% tax = 4.9% net, below 6% inflation)
SIP is the only instrument that beats inflation over 20 years. Use the SIP calculator to experiment with different amounts and see the post-tax values.
Frequently Asked Questions
How much does LTCG tax reduce my ₹10K SIP corpus?
Is LTCG tax calculated per SIP installment?
Can I avoid LTCG tax on SIP?
Is LTCG taxed differently on debt mutual fund SIP?
What is the effective tax rate on my SIP after 20 years?
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Written by Amir Khan, a contributor to RupeeReality: free financial calculators for Indian investors. All calculations use standard financial formulas cross-referenced against established platforms. Numbers updated for FY 2026-27. Not financial advice.